, 49-47 and there is new evidence that romney is out-pacing obama when it comes to early voting. he leads by a 7-point margin. that is a dramatic change from where things stood in 2008, when the anointed one led senator mccain by 19 points in early voting at this stage of the race. here to tell us, the new york times best seller, the great destroyer and joe trippi. joe, i went over thicks with bill cunningham. out of cincinnati. he knows the state. never been wrong. he spoke to the secretary of state's office, obottom athe democrats are down, 230,000 early voting from where they were in 2008. republicans are up 40, and he said there is no way that mitt romney doesn't win ohio. you tweeted out just the orsit today. give me your evidence? >> well, look, i have -- you know, i looked at internal polling-- >>> internal polling. >> look, sean, we can debate who will win ohio until we're blue in the face. it's very tight there. it is probably going to be whoever win ohio will be the next president. so if you are right, you will be tap dancing on me on wednesday morning. but i don't thin